May 24, 2026, 6:03 pm
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From relatively humble beginnings, both Russia and Ukraine have massively scaled up their use of one-way attack drones over time and in 2026 we’ve seen the Ukrainians reach further and more frequently.
So today I want to talk about the evolution of Ukraine’s long-range war and the recent strike on the Moscow Region.
Because nothing quite says successful demilitarisation quite like your opponent launching massed drone strikes on your capital four years into a war.
Patreon:
https://www.patreon.com/PerunAU
Reading and Sourcing (Partial):
Visually confirmed losses per Oryx
UA USF claims per USF dashboard
TWZ – New Russian ALCM
https://www.twz.com/air/new-russian-air-launched-cruise-missile-appears-in-ukraine
Putin draws red line (2024)
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/crrlr87e5elo
RUSI – Disrupting Russian Air Defence Production
https://static.rusi.org/rp-disrupting-russian-air-defence-production.pdf
Reporting on S-71K
https://www.twz.com/air/new-russian-air-launched-cruise-missile-appears-in-ukraine
https://www.businessinsider.com/new-russian-cruise-missile-full-of-western-parts-ukrainian-intel-2026-4
Atlantic Council on Ukraine Drone War (and one cover image)
From Moscow to Crimea, Ukraine is winning the drone war against Russia
Reporting on Eased UK sanctions
Due to the crisis in the Middle East, Britain will allow the import of fuel from Rosneft
Mapping of air defence positions around Lake Valdai per
https://x.com/kromark/status/1812952368084054108?lang=en
David Hambling – Russian “Missile Drought” Bites…
https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidhambling/2026/05/07/russian-missile-drought-bites-as-putin-pulls-back-to-defend-moscow/
UA Defence Minister of test of Ukrainian glide bomb
https://x.com/FedorovMykhailo/status/2056296732690935835
Russia plans to make 120,000 glide bombs (2025)
https://www.reuters.com/business/aerospace-defense/russia-plans-make-up-120000-glide-bombs-this-year-ukrainian-intelligence-says-2025-11-14/
French Hammer deliveries to Ukraine
https://united24media.com/latest-news/france-to-supply-1200-jamming-resistant-aasm-hammer-bombs-for-ukraines-soviet-era-jets-8107
Reporting on recent Ukrainian Strike Activity
https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/oil-refining-standstill-central-russia-after-ukrainian-drone-strikes-sources-say-2026-05-20/
https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2026/05/20/drone-strikes-force-central-russian-refineries-to-halt-or-cut-output-reuters-a92805
https://united24media.com/war-in-ukraine/ukraines-record-deep-strikes-are-knocking-out-russias-industrial-heartland-18660
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/may/18/ukraine-war-briefing-the-drones-that-bombarded-moscow-region
Ukrainian long-range drones are turning Russia’s size into a weakness
https://kyivindependent.com/fire-at-novorossiysk-fuel-terminal-amid-ukrainian-drone-attack-russian-authorities-say/
https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2026/03/04/8023882/
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c5ye480kxpmo
Reporting on Russian revenues post Iran war
https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2026/05/13/russias-oil-export-revenue-saw-continued-growth-in-april-iea-says-a92745
TASS reporting on S-300 ground attack role (2017)
https://tass.com/defense/938610
Documents on Russian Ukraine peace negotiations 2022 (including arms limitations tables)
https://static01.nyt.com/newsgraphics/documenttools/a456d6dd8e27e830/e279a252-full.pdf
Source of 9M33 image
https://global.espreso.tv/military-news-russian-propagandists-unwittingly-confirm-critical-gaps-in-air-defense
Caveats & Comments:
All normal caveats and comments apply. In particular – I would like to note as always that this material has been created for entertainment purposes and is not intended to be a complete or comprehensive examination of the topic in question and should not be relied upon to inform financial or any other decision, evaluation, or similar.
Any content relating to the conduct, views, activities or any aspect of any person or character in this video is included for entertainment purposes and does not represent an assertion of fact on those matters or any matters in relation to that person or character.
Care has been taken in compiling data, quotes, and other inputs from various sources but errors can occur. Quotes and included data should be considered illustrative, not definitive and their veracity should not be relied on.
Timestamps:
00:00:00 — Intro
00:01:39 — What Am I Talking About?
00:03:37 — LRS in Ukrainian Strategy
00:09:25 — the Moscow Strike
00:19:21 — Ukrainian SEAD/DEAD
00:31:14 — Offensive Capabilities
00:50:12 — Energy Strikes
00:57:54 — a High-level View
00:59:54 — Channel Update
Content Creator – Perun
