April 28, 2024, 3:03 pm
In early 2022, the US quickly emerged as one of Ukraine’s most important military suppliers, supporting Kyiv with everything from artillery to armour & millions of rounds of artillery ammunition.
In late 2023, that vital flow of supplies began to stall as debate in Congress continued. And as supplies ran short, Russian forces took advantage and ground the front forward in several places.
Now, the US has passed a new package and the flow of supplies is resuming. In this video, we look at that package, examine its contents and ask what impact it might have as Ukraine reportedly faces some of its hardest defensive battles since 2022.
Patreon:
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Relevant Reading/sourcing:
H.R.815 – Making emergency supplemental appropriations for the fiscal year ending September 30, 2024, and for other purposes.
https://www.congress.gov/bill/118th-congress/house-bill/815
Estonian MoD: A Military Strategy for Ukraine’s Victory and Russia’s Defeat
https://kaitseministeerium.ee/sites/default/files/kaitseministeerium_2023veeb_17.12.pdf
IMF – Third Review of the Extended Arrangement Under the Extended Fund Facility – Ukraine
https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/CR/Issues/2024/03/22/Ukraine-Third-Review-Under-the-Extended-Arrangement-Under-the-Extended-Fund-Facility-546741
US DoD on recent USAI and Ukraine Contact Group meeting
https://www.defense.gov/News/News-Stories/Article/Article/3758274/2-year-anniversary-of-ukraine-defense-contact-group-comes-with-billions-in-new/#:~:text=The%20Ukraine%20Defense%20Contact%20Group%2C%20a%20coalition%20of%20about%2050,assistance%20to%20Ukraine%2C%20Austin%20said.
Reporting on Ukraine’s ATACMS usage
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/oct/17/ukraine-us-missiles-zelenskiy
Article on mentioned Kyiv spending protests:
https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-war-kyiv-protest-corruption-2b5520cd8b5112f4faa7d87105cf752e
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/12/22/world/europe/ukraine-spending-war-russia.html#:~:text=Braving%20rain%20and%20snow%2C%20hundreds,of%20a%20new%20subway%20depot.
Featured demonstration of shifting US policy position on aid:
https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-quietly-shipped-long-range-atacms-missiles-ukraine-2024-04-24/
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/us-will-not-send-ukraine-rocket-systems-that-can-reach-russia-says-biden-2022-05-30/
Featured article reporting the Pentagon replacement deficit
https://www.politico.com/news/2024/03/11/pentagon-weapons-ukraine-congress-00146287
US Congress passing aid
https://www.reuters.com/world/us/long-awaited-aid-ukraine-israel-taiwan-poised-pass-us-congress-2024-04-23/
https://www.voanews.com/a/us-house-passes-aid-package-for-ukraine-israel-after-months-of-struggle/7578232.html
UK sending largest ever package to Ukraine
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/apr/22/rishi-sunak-promises-uks-largest-ever-military-support-package-for-ukraine
Reporting on Russian offensive
https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-war-avdiivka-c31eb7439d1983532a3f940061efe6e7
https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-war-offensive-putin-8fce40ee08fdcc483f1d0fbe51c44bbe
Reporting on Russian budget passage
https://apnews.com/article/russia-budget-duma-economy-ukraine-b0e31af0e5891b1dca079d4848e3cd2f
Featured article on Putin’s war goals and expectations
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/feb/21/putin-still-believes-he-can-win-in-ukraine-says-western-assessment
Macron warning Europe cannot rely on the USA
https://www.politico.eu/article/emmanuel-macron-europe-china-competition-protectionism-geopolitics/
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-25/macron-says-eu-can-no-longer-rely-on-us-for-its-security
Ukraine needing $3B per month – (reporting, see IMF source for more detail)
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/ukraine-needs-3-bln-financial-aid-per-month-2024-kyiv-says-2024-02-28/#:~:text=KYIV%2C%20Feb%2028%20(Reuters),U.S.%20support%20begins%20to%20falter.
Caveats & Comments:
All normal caveats and comments apply. In particular – I would like to note as always that this material has been created for entertainment purposes and is not intended to be a complete or comprehensive examination of the topic in question and should not be relied upon to inform financial or other similar decisions.
Timestamps:
00:00:00 — Opening Words
00:00:57 — What Am I Talking About?
00:01:40 — The 23/24 Delay
00:08:28 — What’s In The Package
00:26:09 — Aid And The Usa
00:27:54 — What Aid Will Do
00:30:58 — Working The Ammo Example
00:41:08 — The Valley Of Death
00:48:11 — Economic Sustainability
00:58:08 — The 24/25 Dynamic
01:03:21 — Channel Update00:00:00 — Opening Words
00:00:57 — What Am I Talking About?
00:01:40 — The 23/24 Delay
00:08:28 — What’s In The Package
00:26:09 — Aid And The Usa
00:27:54 — What Aid Will Do
00:30:58 — Working The Ammo Example
00:41:08 — The Valley Of Death
00:48:11 — Economic Sustainability
00:58:08 — The 24/25 Dynamic
01:03:21 — Channel Update
Content Creator – Perun
