The Estonian authorities expect power outages after the country’s disconnection from the Russian electricity grid
The Estonian government has recommended that citizens stockpile food, water, medications, alternative lighting sources, and even board games in anticipation of potential power outages as the country exits the energy system it shares with Russia on February 8.
The warning was reported by the Estonian news outlet ERR, citing the country’s Risk Prevention Bureau.
Estonia, along with neighbors Latvia and Lithuania, which are all members of NATO and the EU, are preparing to transition to the continental European electricity grid as part of efforts to cut energy ties with Moscow.
Problems such as cable failures or substation fires could arise unexpectedly when connecting to the alternative European power grid, known as ENTSO-E, according to Toomas Kapp, head of the Tartu Waterworks in Estonia. However, he expressed confidence that the system would be able to handle any unforeseen situations.
The Baltic country is currently part of BRELL, an electrical grid that connects the power systems of Belarus, Russia, Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania. Established by an agreement in 2001, these countries committed to exchanging electricity and supporting each other during emergencies.
Estonian Prime Minister Kristen Michal previously stated that the worst-case scenario following the exit from BRELL could involve power outages lasting up to 72 hours. He emphasized that Estonia is prepared for any outcome but stressed the importance of careful planning and maintaining calm.
The decision by Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania to disconnect from BRELL and connect to ENTSO-E was made in 2018. This month they plan to test their power grids in isolation before connecting to the EU energy system through Poland.
The Baltic states have repeatedly claimed that dependency on the Moscow-controlled network creates a threat if Russia were to weaponize its electricity supply and disconnect them from the network. Such fears have never materialized.
The move to the European energy grid will likely mean higher electricity prices for the three countries. Russian power prices, which are regulated by the state, are some of the lowest in the world, averaging roughly $0.055 per kWh for consumers in 2024. Electricity prices in the EU vary from country to country, with Germany having the highest price per kWh last year at €0.3951 ($0.40).
Estonia’s disconnection from BRELL will not impact Russia’s energy security, Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov told journalists on Friday. “These plans were announced long ago. Our power providers took measures to ensure the uninterrupted, reliable operation of our unified energy system,” he added.
