March 8, 2026, 6:02 pm
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Less than a few months into 2026, the world has seen the beginning of another war. For more than a week now U.S. and Israeli forces have been striking targets in Iran while Iranian missiles and drones are launched at targets across the Middle East in response.
Much of the war is still too cloaked in the fog of war to describe with much certainty, but what is clear is that concerns about munitions shortages (on all sides) that may have felt very familiar to those who have followed the war in Ukraine. With the U.S. emphasising the depletion of Iran’s missile launch capability while concerns surfaced about everything from Tomahawks to interceptor missiles, the question often asked was would a munitions shortage force one side or the other to end the war in a matter of days?
The answer, as it turns out, is probably not.
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All normal caveats and comments apply. In particular – I would like to note as always that this material has been created for entertainment purposes and is not intended to be a complete or comprehensive examination of the topic in question and should not be relied upon to inform financial or other similar decisions.
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Timestamps:
00:00:00 — Opening Words
00:01:59 — What Am I Talking About?
00:04:04 — Sources of Error
00:11:53 — Objectives & Targeting
00:15:05 — the Iranian Response
00:22:39 — Munitions & Shot Exchange
00:26:36 — US Air Campaign
00:36:37 — Iranian Missile Launch Capacity
00:42:54 — Gulf Air Defence
00:52:56 — the Balance of Depletion?
00:53:12 — What to Watch Next
00:59:14 — Channel Update
Content Creator – Perun

