August 13, 2025, 12:02 am
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If the worst thing that can happen to a military is losing a war, sometimes the second worst thing might be winning one.
Previously on this channel we’ve talked about some of the deliberate ways in which leaders might sabotage their own militaries – corruption, falsified reporting or picking political favorites over competent candidates.
Sometimes though, a force can be slowly undermined by leaders that don’t even know they’re doing so – in fact, they may actually think they’re doing great.
This is the realm of arrogance and overconfidence. In the future, we may dive a little deeper and have a look at examples of how this phenomenon has swung battles and campaigns, but today we’re going to look at it at a higher level – how arrogance can limit the ability of a force to evolve, adapt, and avoid future defeat.
Patreon:
https://www.patreon.com/PerunAU
Reading and Sourcing (shortened as I’m t:
Lieutenant R. E. Bassler -Tryon and the Victoria
September 1934 Proceedings Vol. 60/9/379
https://www.usni.org/magazines/proceedings/1934/september/tryon-and-victoria
RKK International Centre for Defence And Security – Lorenzo Crippa
Putin’s Henchmen, the Russian National Guard in the Invasion of Ukraine
https://icds.ee/en/putins-henchmen-the-russian-national-guard-in-the-invasion-of-ukraine/
Not included but a solid example I’ll return to – Reporting on then Russian Defence Minister Grachev claiming Grozny could be taken in two hours (it was not taken in two hours)
https://www.rferl.org/a/1056335.html
TASS – Russia’s chief research institute doubts effectiveness of reusable rockets
https://tass.com/science/853567
Reporting on Arianespace CEO in 2016 on reusability
https://x.com/pbdes/status/684329135947280384
Brycetech space activity figures Q1 2025
https://brycetech.com/reports/report-documents/bryce-briefing-2025-Q1/
Featured reporting on the Putin "Kyiv in 2 weeks" claim
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/sep/02/putin-russian-forces-could-conquer-ukraine-capital-kiev-fortnight
https://www.reuters.com/article/world/putin-comment-on-taking-kiev-in-2-weeks-taken-out-of-context-aide-idUSKBN0GX0JS/
Geoffrey Reagan – Great Military Blunders
Lukashenko image
https://www.intellinews.com/president-of-belarus-reveals-russian-invasion-plans-in-viral-video-236712/
Caveats & Comments:
All normal caveats and comments apply. In particular – I would like to note as always that this material has been created for entertainment purposes and is not intended to be a complete or comprehensive examination of the topic in question and should not be relied upon to inform financial or other similar decisions.
Any content relating to the conduct, views, activities or any aspect of any person or character in this video is included for entertainment purposes and does not represent an assertion of fact on those matters or any matters in relation to that person or character.
Care has been taken in compiling data, quotes, and other inputs from various sources but errors can occur. Quotes and included data should be
considered illustrative, not definitive and their veracity should not be relied on.
Timestamps:
00:00:00 — Opening Words
00:01:04 — What Am I Talking About?
00:03:11 — Why Arrogance Matters
00:09:55 — Arrogance at Every Level
00:14:54 — Arrogance & Compliance
00:26:41 — the Arrogance of Victory
00:38:25 — Arrogance & Reform – Technology
00:51:07 — Mitigations
00:57:16 — Channel Update
Content Creator – Perun
